An area for discussions around the monthly COSPPac Climate Bulletin available at https://www.pacificmet.net/products-and-services/climate-bulletin.
As it stands, there is a 50% chance of El Nino occurring in the last quarter of 2018. This may affect the wet season rainfall in many Southwest Pacific islands and amplify water stress ‘type’ of impacts in the coming year. Early action is needed to mitigate the potential impacts of the event on all sectors and local communities. The COSPPac bulletin will be a good resource to provide updates on the evolution of ENSO over the next few months.