Latest climate model guidance for Feb-Apr 2019


Hi everyone,

International climate models are going through their monthly refresh. Below is a few subplots showing a variety of models’ forecasts for the February to April 2019 period.

There is generally good agreement on drier than normal conditions for New Caledonia and to a lesser extent Vanuatu.

Fiji appears to be on a gradient, with wetter conditions favoured north/east and drier conditions south/west.

The SPCZ (South Pacific Convergence Zone) may be shifted slightly northeast of its climatological position.